U.S. Department of Justice, Office of Justice ProgramsNational Institute of JusticeThe Research, Development, and Evaluation Agency of the U.S. Department of Justice
Presentation — Foreclosure and Crime Across Florida Counties
NIJ Foreclosures and Crime Meeting, March 31 - April 1, 2009
Figure 1. Heuristic Model Linking Foreclosure Rates to Crime Rates
Description of the graphic:This diagram represents the most typical explanation put forth in recent commentaries and research for a possible link between foreclosure rates and crime. It draws heavily from the extant literature on incivilities, disorder, and urban decline. The idea here is that elevated foreclosures could lead to significant population loss, extended vacancy rates, and lower home ownership and higher rental rates, all of which may increase community disorder, reduce collective interest in and oversight of maintaining high levels of collective regulation of public spaces, and ultimately yield higher levels of most forms of street crime.
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